FinanceFEATURE

Digital Currency Race: China's e-CNY Leads, the Digital Euro Advances, the US Says No

E
EffectStory 編輯部Editorial Team
Published · Updated
Central bank digital currency research is nearly universal but live rollout is rare: of 146 countries and currency unions studying CBDCs, only three — the Bahamas, Jamaica, and Nigeria — have fully launched one, while China's e-CNY leads in scale with 16.7 trillion yuan in cumulative transactions. The eurozone is advancing conditionally toward 2029, while the United States has banned retail CBDC development and instead legalized private payment stablecoins.

Why Is Central Bank Digital Currency Research Booming While Live Rollouts Stay Rare?

Central bank digital currency (CBDC) research now spans nearly the entire global economy, but full deployment remains the exception, not the rule. According to the Atlantic Council's CBDC Tracker, updated in May 2026, 146 countries and currency unions — representing more than 98% of global GDP — are researching CBDCsCITE:E1. Of those, 77 have reached an "advanced" stage of development, piloting, or launch, and 41 pilot projects are currently running worldwideCITE:E1. Yet only 3 countries have moved beyond piloting to a full nationwide launchCITE:E1.

What Separates a Pilot From a Nationwide Launch?

Only three countries — the Bahamas, Jamaica, and Nigeria — have taken a CBDC from pilot to full nationwide rolloutCITE:E2. The Bahamas operates the Sand Dollar, Jamaica runs JAM-DEX, and Nigeria issues the eNairaCITE:E2. With 41 pilot projects active globally against just these three completed launches, the gap between testing a CBDC and achieving full public adoption remains wideCITE:E1.

How Large Is China's Digital Yuan Compared With Other CBDCs?

China's digital yuan, the e-CNY, is the world's largest active CBDC experiment by transaction volume. The People's Bank of China reported that, as of the end of November 2025, e-CNY had processed a cumulative 3.48 billion transactions worth 16.7 trillion yuan — roughly $2.37 trillionCITE:E3. This figure reflects cumulative transaction value rather than the amount currently in circulationCITE:E3.

Where Does the Digital Euro Stand?

The European Central Bank (ECB) closed the digital euro's "preparation phase" in October 2025 and moved into the next stage of the projectCITE:E4. The ECB is targeting a pilot launch with initial transactions by mid-2027 and aims to have "first issuance" capability by 2029CITE:E4. Both dates are conditional: they depend on EU lawmakers first passing the Digital Euro Regulation, after which the ECB's Governing Council would decide whether to actually issue the currencyCITE:E4.

Why Did the US Halt Its Central Bank Digital Currency Plans?

President Trump signed Executive Order 14178 on January 23, 2025, explicitly prohibiting federal agencies — including the Federal Reserve — from establishing, issuing, or promoting a retail CBDCCITE:E5. The order also revoked prior administration directives related to CBDC developmentCITE:E5. It cites risks to individual privacy, national sovereignty, and financial stability as the basis for the banCITE:E5.

What Did the US Choose Instead of a CBDC?

The United States enacted the GENIUS Act on July 18, 2025, establishing the country's first federal licensing and regulatory framework for payment stablecoinsCITE:E6. The bill passed the Senate 68-30 and the House 308-122 before being signed into lawCITE:E6. Rather than a government-issued digital currency, the US framework channels dollar-denominated digital payments through regulated private issuers — a direct policy contrast to its ban on retail CBDCCITE:E6.

Global CBDC Status at a Glance

Region / CountryStatusKey FiguresDate
Global (146 countries/unions)Researching>98% of global GDP; 77 advanced; 41 pilotsTracker updated May 2026
Bahamas, Jamaica, NigeriaFully launched3 countries
ChinaFully live (largest by volume)3.48B transactions; ¥16.7T (~$2.37T)As of Nov 2025
Eurozone (ECB)Preparation phase closed; pilot plannedPilot ~mid-2027; first issuance target 2029Preparation phase ended Oct 2025
United States (CBDC)Banned for retail useExecutive Order 14178Jan 23, 2025
United States (stablecoins)Enacted regulatory frameworkSenate 68-30; House 308-122Jul 18, 2025

Taken together, the evidence shows a widening split in approach. Out of 41 active pilots worldwide, only 3 have converted into full national rollouts, and China's e-CNY — with 3.48 billion cumulative transactions — dominates that small group by scaleCITE:E1CITE:E2CITE:E3. Europe's timeline sits between the two extremes: the ECB has closed its preparation phase but its 2027 pilot and 2029 issuance targets remain contingent on pending EU legislationCITE:E4. The United States, by contrast, moved in the opposite direction within the same year — banning retail CBDC development under Executive Order 14178 in January 2025, then enacting the GENIUS Act five months later in July 2025 to regulate private stablecoins insteadCITE:E5CITE:E6.

📊 Evidence

FAQ

Why Is Central Bank Digital Currency Research Booming While Live Rollouts Stay Rare?

Central bank digital currency (CBDC) research now spans nearly the entire global economy, but full deployment remains the exception, not the rule.

What Separates a Pilot From a Nationwide Launch?

Only three countries — the Bahamas, Jamaica, and Nigeria — have taken a CBDC from pilot to full nationwide rolloutCITE:E2.

How Large Is China's Digital Yuan Compared With Other CBDCs?

China's digital yuan, the e-CNY, is the world's largest active CBDC experiment by transaction volume.

Where Does the Digital Euro Stand?

The European Central Bank (ECB) closed the digital euro's "preparation phase" in October 2025 and moved into the next stage of the projectCITE:E4.

📎 Sources

  1. atlanticcouncil.org
  2. english.news.cn
  3. ecb.europa.eu
  4. federalregister.gov
  5. cov.com

Related data

Author's TakeEffectStory 編輯部

The number that matters most here isn't China's 16.7 trillion yuan headline — it's the 3-out-of-41 conversion rate from pilot to full launch, which sets the real bar for what 'success' looks like in this space. China clears that bar by volume, but 3.48 billion transactions is a cumulative flow figure, not a stock of currency in circulation, so it measures usage intensity rather than replacement of cash. Europe's 2027/2029 dates are worth watching specifically because they are legislatively conditional — the ECB has finished its own preparation work but cannot move without the Digital Euro Regulation passing first. The more structurally interesting data point is the five-month gap between EO 14178 (January 2025) and the GENIUS Act (July 2025): the US didn't just decline to build a CBDC, it built a substitute — a licensed private-stablecoin channel — in the same window. The metric to track next is whether the EU's Digital Euro Regulation actually passes; that single vote determines whether the 2027 pilot date is real or just a placeholder.

E
EffectStory 編輯部Editorial Team

Related

FEATURE

Why Solar-Plus-Storage Is the Most Practical Power Fix for AI Data Centers Right Now

Utility-scale solar has become one of the cheapest new power sources, with costs down roughly 90% since 2010, while 2024 deployment volume outpaced every other generation technology. Paired with record-low battery prices, solar-plus-storage is already powering an AI data center in Arizona — though it still falls short of full 24-hour dispatchable baseload.

Nathan ·
FEATURE

2026's AI Enforcement Collision: EU Fines Activate as California Tightens and Washington Pushes Back

2026 marks the European Union AI Act's real enforcement start: the AI Office gains fining power over general-purpose AI on August 2, while high-risk system deadlines are pushed to 2027 and 2028. California activates two new laws on January 1 covering frontier-developer safety disclosure and training-data transparency. The federal government moves the opposite direction, ordering a Justice Department task force to challenge state AI laws, naming California's SB 53 as a target.

EffectStory 編輯部 ·
FEATURE

Who's Actually Flying Air Taxis? China's EHang Carries Passengers While US Rivals Chase Certification and Europe's Two Pioneers Collapse

China's EHang (億航) is the only eVTOL maker actually flying paying passengers today, holding a full Chinese type, production, and operating certificate set and delivering 221 aircraft in 2025. US rivals Joby and Archer remain in certification or pre-launch stages, while Germany's Lilium and Volocopter both went insolvent in 2024–2025, with Volocopter absorbed by a Chinese buyer.

EffectStory 編輯部 ·