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Microsoft's Single-Day Market Cap Gain Tops Nvidia's Record, Adding Nearly $450 Billion

林紀旭 James LinEditor-in-Chief
Published · Updated
According to Technews, Microsoft's stock surged more than 15% on July 31, lifting its market capitalization to $3.35 trillion (NT$107.8 trillion) and adding nearly $450 billion in a single day — a gain that overtakes Nvidia's prior record of $441 billion set in April last year, as strong cloud and AI results drove the rally.

How large was Microsoft's single-day market cap gain, and how does it compare with Nvidia's prior record?

Microsoft's stock closed up more than 15% on July 31, pushing its market capitalization to $3.35 trillion (NT$107.8 trillion), according to Technews. The single-day gain — nearly $450 billion, or roughly NT$14.5 trillion — surpassed the previous record for the largest one-day market-cap increase by any company, which Nvidia set in April last year at $441 billion (NT$14.5 trillion), Technews reported. The two figures, drawn from the same report, both convert to approximately NT$14.5 trillion, underscoring how closely Microsoft's gain tracked the scale of Nvidia's earlier record before edging past it.

What is driving cloud and AI growth, and what capital spending plans follow?

Techews cited Zacks Investment Management describing Microsoft's quarterly results as "quite strong," noting the results "precisely matched market expectations, because the primary growth driver came from the cloud and AI divisions." Looking ahead, Microsoft said its next-quarter Azure cloud growth is projected at 45% on a constant-currency basis, above the 40.92% growth analysts had expected, per Technews. To sustain that trajectory, Microsoft said its capital spending plans remain unchanged: $50 billion (NT$1.6 trillion) in capital expenditure for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027, and $175 billion (NT$5.6 trillion) for the full 2026 calendar year, Technews reported.

How did Microsoft's stock rebound after lagging early in the year, and how are brokerages recalibrating expectations?

Before the July 31 rally, Microsoft's stock had lagged part of the "Magnificent Seven" group for the year, with cumulative losses exceeding 18% through the July 30 close, according to Technews. Following the earnings-driven surge, at least nine brokerages raised their price targets on Microsoft, with the average target reaching $560.90 (NT$18,000), Technews reported — a shift that followed directly on the heels of the stock's worst year-to-date standing among its megacap peers.

What risk factor looms from the Trump administration's critical minerals export controls?

Separately, President Trump signed a measure authorizing the government to restrict exports of certain industrial waste under the Defense Production Act in order to retain the critical minerals and rare elements it contains, according to a United Daily News (UDN) report. UDN said the move is the latest action by the Trump administration to secure critical mineral supplies, materials that are essential inputs for numerous advanced technology and industrial products, and that the measure is also aimed at reducing US reliance on related resources from China.

Numbers at a glance

MetricValueEvidence
Microsoft stock, single-day move+15%+E1
Microsoft market cap after surge$3.35T (NT$107.8T)E2
Microsoft single-day market-cap gain~$450B (NT$14.5T)E1
Nvidia's prior single-day record (April last year)$441B (NT$14.5T)E3
Microsoft YTD stock performance (through Jul 30)-18%+E5
Brokerages raising price target / average target9+ firms / $560.90 (NT$18,000)E6
FY2027 Q1 capex plan$50B (NT$1.6T)E7
CY2026 full-year capex plan$175B (NT$5.6T)E7
Next-quarter Azure growth forecast (constant currency) vs. expectation45% vs. 40.92%E8

What this means

Taken together, the Technews figures show Microsoft's record-breaking gain arriving right after a stretch in which its stock had underperformed peers by more than 18% year-to-date — meaning the same day that set a new market-cap-gain record also marked a sharp reversal from months of relative weakness. The nine-brokerage target upgrade to an average of $560.90 lines up with Microsoft's own forward guidance: a 45% constant-currency Azure growth forecast that exceeds the 40.92% analysts had modeled, and capex commitments of $50 billion next quarter and $175 billion for the full 2026 calendar year that signal the spending is expected to continue rather than taper. Separately, the UDN-reported critical minerals export measure signed by President Trump sits outside the Microsoft story but reflects a parallel policy track — restricting the resources used in "advanced technology and industrial products" and aimed at reducing dependence on China — that the evidence does not tie numerically or causally to Microsoft's results.

📊 Evidence

FAQ

What record did Microsoft's market cap gain break?

Microsoft's market cap rose to $3.35 trillion (NT$107.8 trillion) after a single-day gain of nearly $450 billion (NT$14.5 trillion), surpassing Nvidia's previous record of a $441 billion (NT$14.5 trillion) single-day gain set in April last year, according to Technews.

What did analysts say was driving Microsoft's growth?

Zacks Investment Management said Microsoft's quarterly results matched market expectations because the primary growth driver came from its cloud and AI divisions, as reported by Technews.

How much capital spending has Microsoft committed to going forward?

Microsoft said it plans $50 billion (NT$1.6 trillion) in capital expenditure for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 and $175 billion (NT$5.6 trillion) for the full 2026 calendar year, according to Technews.

📎 Sources

  1. finance.technews.tw
  2. money.udn.com
林紀旭 James LinEditor-in-Chief

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